EVA · Market intelligence engine

One brain. Every horizon.

Eva reads market structure the way an ICT desk does, keeps a four-year cycle clock, and digests the news as it breaks — each on its own timescale, from a four-year arc down to a sixty-second watch. Every conclusion is written down, timestamped and served over an API. The trading books are the first things built on it, not the last.

cycle phase bear drawdown headlines classified 979 market reads 5,248 books on the brain 5 as of 2026-09-23
What Eva sees

Four inputs, held apart on purpose.

Each is computed independently and none is allowed to overrule the others by assertion. Structure decides trades; the cycle sets posture; news can veto but never initiate.

01 · Structure

ICT, as code

Order blocks and breakers from close-confirmed structure breaks, swing-failure sweeps at prior extremes, mitigation tracking, and fibonacci entry bands inside M5 order blocks — detected programmatically, then cross-checked before anything trades.

02 · Cycle

A four-year clock

Every halving since 2012 and the three cycle tops and bottoms that followed drive a five-phase model of where the market sits. Refreshed daily against twelve years of Bitcoin dailies, with a written thesis and gold ratios alongside.

03 · News

Headlines with a half-life

1,348 headlines read and 979 escalated to a classifier that assigns severity, direction and an expiry. Live context enters the trading prompt, and Eva must answer it in writing.

04 · Judgment

Allowed to decline

A vision model reads the marked charts and either specifies a complete trade or declines — and declining is the common answer, at 97.3% of cycles. Every cited level is re-checked against raw candles before it can become a position.

Right now

The read, as it stands today.

This is not a marketing illustration — it is the same record the system publishes to itself and to everything built on it, rendered from the ledger. When the cycle model and the desk disagree, the disagreement is printed rather than smoothed.

Four-year cycle · deterministic
Bear drawdown day 886 since the 2024-04-20 halving
60.9% of the way to the next halving, est. 2028-04-15
desk thesis bearish · confidence 0.62
written 2026-09-23 · posture only, never a trade trigger
Market stance · refreshed every cycle
H4H1M15
BTC bullish 0.62 bearish 0.58 neutral 0.55
ETH neutral 0.61 bearish 0.64 bullish 0.53

as of 2026-09-23 22:31 UTC · BTC is decided first and ETH read as the higher-beta conduit · disagreement across timeframes is shown, not resolved

One brain, five clocks

Different questions deserve different timescales.

A four-year view should not be setting an intraday stop, and a sixty-second watcher should not hold an opinion about the cycle. Each layer runs on its own cadence, writes its own artifact, and is consumed by whatever needs it.

Layer
Cadence
What it produces
Who reads it
Four-year cycle
Daily
Halving phase, projected pivots, and a written thesis with a stated bias and confidence.
Posture · downstream products · never a trade trigger
Market stance
Half-hourly
Bullish, neutral or bearish for BTC and ETH across H4, H1 and M15, each with a confidence and a rationale.
The published read · the idea mill · the event-market bot
Structure read
Half-hourly
A fully specified trade — entry, stop, staged targets, size, written thesis — or, far more often, no trade.
The ICT Trades book
News
Every 5 min
Severity, direction and expiry per headline, aggregated into a live posture.
The trading prompt · entry gates · stop ratchets
Execution watch
Every 60 sec
Mechanical entry triggers inside the established structure, and exit reconciliation against the exchange.
The live sleeve
What news is and is not allowed to do. High-severity context can block an entry that fights it and ratchet stops on open positions — it can tighten risk, never open it. Eva is instructed never to flip a trade on a headline alone, and a decision that ignores live macro is rejected before publication.
The platform

Products consume the read. They don't rebuild it.

Everything Eva concludes is persisted and served over a token-authenticated API. A new product asks for the current read over HTTP instead of re-deriving it — the analysis is paid for once, by the hub, and reused. Two independent services already run exactly that way.

The surface

A read, not a signal feed

Stances by asset and timeframe, the cycle thesis, funding regimes, macro posture and volatility events — the same objects the flagship book trades on, available to anything holding a service token.

The proof

Two services, zero re-analysis

The idea mill turns stance flips, news and volatility spikes into published cards. The event-market bot takes its directional bias straight from the API and has never paid for a chart read of its own.

The discipline

Fail closed, not stale

Consumers refuse to trade on an old opinion: if the read is unreachable or past its freshness window, the answer is no signal rather than a stale one.

The books

Five products already running on it.

In product order, not ranked — each book asks a different question of the same brain, and each is shown with its own sample size, its own record and its own caveats. The edge is under study; the accounting is not.

ICT Trades

LIVE · EXCHANGE

The flagship book. Multi-timeframe ICT chart reads on ETH and BTC every 30 minutes — market structure, sweep-failures, order blocks — executed live with a hard stop and staged take-profits on every position.

Live return −2.44% Trades / week ~4.3 Median hold 10h
live book return since 2026-08-31, updated as positions close · n=14 closed · small sample — no expectancy claim is made at this n

Trade Mill

LIVE · HIGH THROUGHPUT

The idea stream. Not an ICT desk — a programmatic scanner wired straight into Eva's brain that constantly mints structured intraday setups, every one published with entry, stop and targets, and every one scored in public.

Ideas / day ~25.3 Live P&L −3.45% Ideas published 1138
live book return since go-live 2026-08-28 · n=107 closed fills · fixed clip sizes under daily-loss and concurrency halts · the record is shown as recorded, losses included

Kalshi 15m Reversal

LIVE · KALSHI

The reversal lane. When three or more consecutive 15-minute candles run one way and the last one sweeps the prior extreme, the bot takes the other side of the event contract — a classic exhaustion read, settled within the quarter hour.

Live return +12.70% Win rate 49.7% Settled 153
cumulative return since the current rules went live on 2026-09-14 · n=153 settled · 15-minute event contracts settle every quarter hour, so samples grow fast but each result is small

Kalshi 15m Wick

LIVE · KALSHI

The favourite lane. Mid-window, when one side of the 15-minute contract is priced 67–80¢ with four to ten minutes left, the bot buys it and holds to settlement — harvesting the gap between priced probability and realized outcome.

Live return +54.49% Win rate 75.2% Settled 816
cumulative return since the current rules went live on 2026-09-17 · n=816 settled · 15-minute event contracts settle every quarter hour, so samples grow fast but each result is small

YieldGen

LIVE · ON-CHAIN NAV

The institutional sleeve. On-chain collateral and fixed-yield positions managed against hard health-factor floors — stable yield, marked to a daily NAV, and the most risk-free book Eva runs.

Since go-live +6.90% Days live 29
daily NAV marks since go-live 2026-08-26, shown as return · the curve includes market moves of the collateral — an accounting record, not a trading-alpha claim

More strategies coming soon.

How to read these numbers. These books are weeks old and small. They are shown because publishing the record — including the losses — is the product's first principle, not because any single figure proves an edge. Full framing per strategy on the strategies page.
End to end

From chart read to published outcome, in four steps.

01

Discover

The engine assembles marked H4 / H1 / M5 charts each cycle, plus a weekly relative-strength read between ETH and BTC and any live macro context, and proposes a trade only when structure lines up.

02

Validate

Every proposal is checked against the raw data: cited levels must exist, stops must be structural, targets must be reachable. Failures are downgraded to no-trade, and the audit score is kept.

03

Execute

Surviving ideas go to the books — live exchange sleeves with real brackets, event-market lanes that settle every quarter hour, and an on-chain sleeve marked to a daily NAV.

04

Account

Fills, partial exits, trailed stops and final P&L are recorded as they happen. The ledger is the product: what you see is what the system actually did.

From the ledger

Case studies, drawn from closed live trades.

When a live position fully closes, the system renders an annotated chart of what happened — entry, stop, every target that paid, and a post-trade note. A selection, including a loser, because the record is only credible whole.

ETH-USD · long · 2026-08-31

ETH long — stacked H4 demand, laddered out into strength

Two bullish H4 order blocks sat stacked directly below price after a corrective grind, with an H4 sweep-failure at the lows and the weekly open framing the demand pocket. The read: a bull-regime correction finishing its work into demand, not a trend change.

closed +$17.85 · held 35h

ETH-USD · short · 2026-09-04

ETH short — supply retest filled, two targets in half an hour

An unmitigated H4 bearish order block at 2,479–2,534 had capped price since Aug 30, and the 24-hour high at 2,546 tagged the supply retest zone two bars before entry — bears had already defended the level. The short was placed inside that supply with the stop just beyond it.

closed +$32.30 · held 29h

Beta

See the whole read, as it happens.

Beta users get Eva's idea cards as they publish — entry, stop, targets and thesis — plus the running books and the market read behind them. Places are limited while the record is still young.